Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 11.12.2022

Polling data

AfD
30.0
+2.0
Linke
27.0
+3.0
CDU
15.0
-2.5
SPD
10.0
-2.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Grüne
5.0
-1.0
Sonst.
7.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
AfD
+6.6
Linke
-4.0
CDU
-6.8
SPD
+1.8
FDP
+1.0
Grüne
-0.2
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1016 respondents – 05.12.2022-11.12.2022
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 138.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 30%, Die Linke 27%, CDU 15%, SPD 10%, FDP 6% and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 45.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (05.12.2022 - 11.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
26
SPD
9
Grüne
5
FDP
6
CDU
14
AfD
28
Majority requires 45 seats
AfD + Die Linke
54
AfD + CDU + FDP
48
Die Linke + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
40

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 05.12.2022 and 11.12.2022 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 30%, Die Linke 27%, CDU 15%, SPD 10%, FDP 6% and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.