Thuringia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 24.12.2023

Polling data

Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 987 respondents – 17.12.2023-24.12.2023
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 191.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 36.5%, Die Linke 27%, CDU 16%, SPD 7%, FDP 4% and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 3%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.1 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 39.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 987 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (17.12.2023 - 24.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

AfD + Die Linke
Die Linke + CDU

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 17.12.2023 and 24.12.2023 among 987 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 36.5%, Die Linke 27%, CDU 16%, SPD 7%, FDP 4% and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.