Thuringia: Poll by Forsa from 10.01.2024

Thuringia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
36.0
+12.0
CDU
20.0
+8.0
Linke
17.0
-20.0
SPD
9.0
±0.0
Grüne
5.0
-2.0
BSW
4.0
+4.0
FDP
3.0
-1.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
+3.2
CDU
-3.6
Linke
+3.9
SPD
+2.9
Grüne
+1.8
BSW
-11.8
FDP
+1.9
Forsa – 1253 respondents – 06.01.2024-10.01.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 45% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Thuringia from Forsa shows the following results: AfD 36%, CDU 20%, Die Linke 17%, SPD 9%, Grüne 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Prof. Dr. Mario Voigt is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, SPD and BSW. With 32.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1253 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (06.01.2024 - 10.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
17
19.3%
SPD
9
10.2%
Grüne
5
5.7%
CDU
20
22.7%
AfD
37
42%
AfD + CDU
64.8%
AfD + Die Linke
61.4%
CDU + Die Linke + SPD + Grüne
58.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 06.01.2024 and 10.01.2024 among 1253 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 36%, CDU 20%, Die Linke 17%, SPD 9%, Grüne 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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