Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 24.06.2024

Thuringia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
29.0
-1.0
CDU
22.0
+2.0
BSW
20.0
+4.0
Linke
14.0
-2.0
SPD
7.0
±0.0
Grüne
4.0
-1.0
FDP
2.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-3.8
CDU
-1.6
BSW
+4.2
Linke
+0.9
SPD
+0.9
Grüne
+0.8
FDP
+0.9
INSA – 1000 respondents – 17.06.2024-24.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 42% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Thuringia from INSA shows the following results: AfD 29%, CDU 22%, BSW 20%, Die Linke 14%, SPD 7%, Grüne 4% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Prof. Dr. Mario Voigt is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, SPD and BSW. With 53.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (17.06.2024 - 24.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
13
14.8%
SPD
7
8%
BSW
19
21.6%
CDU
21
23.9%
AfD
28
31.8%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
60.2%
AfD + CDU
55.7%
CDU + BSW + SPD
53.4%
AfD + BSW
53.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 17.06.2024 and 24.06.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 29%, CDU 22%, BSW 20%, Die Linke 14%, SPD 7%, Grüne 4% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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