Thuringia
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Hamburg
Germany

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 23.08.2024

Polling data

AfD
30.0
±0.0
CDU
21.0
±0.0
BSW
20.0
+1.0
Linke
14.0
-2.0
SPD
6.0
±0.0
FDP
3.0
±0.0
Grüne
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-2.8
CDU
-2.6
BSW
+4.2
Linke
+0.9
SPD
-0.1
FDP
+1.9
Grüne
-0.2
INSA – 1000 respondents – 19.08.2024-23.08.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 41% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: AfD 30%, CDU 21%, BSW 20%, Die Linke 14%, SPD 6%, FDP 3% and Grüne 3%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Grüne, Die Linke and SPD. With 22.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (19.08.2024 - 23.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
14
SPD
6
BSW
19
CDU
20
AfD
29
Majority requires 45 seats
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
53
AfD + CDU
49
AfD + BSW
48
CDU + BSW + SPD
45

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 19.08.2024 and 23.08.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 30%, CDU 21%, BSW 20%, Die Linke 14%, SPD 6%, FDP 3% and Grüne 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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