Thuringia
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Hamburg
Germany

Thuringia: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 29.08.2024

Polling data

AfD
29.0
-1.0
CDU
23.0
±0.0
BSW
18.0
+1.0
Linke
13.0
-1.0
SPD
6.0
±0.0
Grüne
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-3.8
CDU
-0.6
BSW
+2.2
Linke
-0.1
SPD
-0.1
Grüne
+0.8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1859 respondents – 26.08.2024-29.08.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: AfD 29%, CDU 23%, BSW 18%, Die Linke 13%, SPD 6% and Grüne 4%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Grüne, Die Linke and SPD. With 21.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1859 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (26.08.2024 - 29.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
13
SPD
6
BSW
18
CDU
23
AfD
28
Majority requires 45 seats
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
54
AfD + CDU
51
AfD + BSW
46
CDU + BSW + SPD
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 26.08.2024 and 29.08.2024 among 1859 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 29%, CDU 23%, BSW 18%, Die Linke 13%, SPD 6% and Grüne 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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