Thuringia
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Hamburg
Germany

Thuringia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 31.08.2024

Polling data

AfD
31.0
+3.5
CDU
22.5
-0.5
BSW
17.5
-1.5
Linke
14.0
-1.5
SPD
5.0
+0.5
Grüne
2.5
±0.0
Sonst.
7.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-1.8
CDU
-1.1
BSW
+1.7
Linke
+0.9
SPD
-1.1
Grüne
-0.7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 900 respondents – 26.08.2024-31.08.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 35% of election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 31%, CDU 22.5%, BSW 17.5%, Die Linke 14%, SPD 5% and Grüne 2.5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Grüne, Die Linke and SPD. With 21.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 900 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (26.08.2024 - 31.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
14
SPD
5
BSW
17
CDU
22
AfD
30
Majority requires 45 seats
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
53
AfD + CDU
52
AfD + BSW
47
AfD + Die Linke
44
CDU + BSW + SPD
44

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 26.08.2024 and 31.08.2024 among 900 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 31%, CDU 22.5%, BSW 17.5%, Die Linke 14%, SPD 5% and Grüne 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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