Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 04.11.2024

Polling data

AfD
34.0
+4.0
CDU
25.0
+4.0
BSW
14.0
-6.0
Linke
13.0
-1.0
SPD
6.0
±0.0
Others
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
+1.2
CDU
+1.4
BSW
-1.8
Linke
-0.1
SPD
-0.1
INSA – 1000 respondents – 28.10.2024-04.11.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 40% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Thuringia from INSA shows the following results: AfD 34%, CDU 25%, BSW 14%, Die Linke 13% and SPD 6%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Prof. Dr. Mario Voigt is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, SPD and BSW. With 48.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (28.10.2024 - 04.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
12
13.6%
SPD
6
6.8%
BSW
13
14.8%
CDU
24
27.3%
AfD
33
37.5%
AfD + CDU
64.8%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
55.7%
AfD + BSW
52.3%
AfD + Die Linke
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 28.10.2024 and 04.11.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 34%, CDU 25%, BSW 14%, Die Linke 13% and SPD 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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