Latest voting intention survey by Aksoy for Turkey
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by Aksoy, the parties received the following results: CHP 32.6%, AKP 30.5%, MHP 9.9%, DEM 8.3%, İYİ 4.7%, YRP 4.3%, ZP 3.5%, TİP 1.6% and Saadet 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1537 people during the period 30.09.2024 - 30.09.2024.
1537 participants
01.09.2024 - 30.09.2024
Aksoy
CHP
32.6
+0.5
AKP
30.5
-4.2
MHP
9.9
+3.1
DEM
8.3
-1.3
İYİ
4.7
-4.3
YRP
4.3
+4.3
ZP
3.5
+3.5
TİP
1.6
-0.3
SP
0.5
+0.5
Others
4.1
-1.8
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
241
40.2%
DEM
61
10.2%
AKP
225
37.5%
MHP
73
12.2%
CHP + DEM
AKP + MHP
AKP + DEM
51
PolitPro Score
Aksoy achieves a score of 51/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Aksoy pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.26
|
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 | 15/28 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.