Latest polls from AR-G
29.8
25.9
14.1
10.5
6.9
3.2
1.8
1.8
1.3
1
0.6
0.5
2.6
28.9
26.3
16.6
9.7
6.8
1.9
1.9
1.4
1
0.9
0.7
0.6
0.5
2.8
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in AR-G pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, AR-G's average ranking is 16.0.
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