Latest voting intention survey by AR-G for Turkey
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by AR-G, the parties received the following results: AKP 33.3%, CHP 31.1%, İYİ 13.3%, DEM 9.3%, MHP 6.8%, TİP 2.5%, MP 1.7%, YRP 0.9% and ZP 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2231 people during the period 03.05.2023 - 03.05.2023.
2231 participants
27.04.2023 - 03.05.2023
AR-G
AKP
33.3
+1.9
CHP
31.1
+3.5
İYİ
13.3
+0.4
DEM
9.3
-2.8
MHP
6.8
+0.2
TİP
2.5
+2.5
MP
1.7
+0.4
YRP
0.9
+0.9
ZP
0.7
-0.4
Others
0.4
-6.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
215
35.8%
DEM
64
10.7%
AKP
230
38.3%
İYİ
91
15.2%
AKP + İYİ
AKP + DEM
CHP + DEM
48
PolitPro Score
AR-G achieves a score of 48/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
3.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in AR-G pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
3.04
|
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 | 26/28 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.