Latest voting intention survey by AREA for Turkey
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by AREA, the parties received the following results: CHP 35%, AKP 30.6%, DEM 8.6%, MHP 7.6%, İYİ 6.6%, ZP 4.2%, YRP 2.2%, TİP 2% and AP 1.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2000 people during the period 15.04.2025 - 15.04.2025.
2000 participants
09.04.2025 - 15.04.2025
AREA
Seats in parliament
600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
257
42.8%
DEM
63
10.5%
AKP
225
37.5%
MHP
55
9.2%
CHP + DEM
AKP + DEM
AKP + MHP
72
PolitPro Score
AREA achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in AREA pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.08
|
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 | 13/28 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.