Current election polls and polling data from BETİMAR

Latest voting intention survey by BETİMAR for Turkey

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by BETİMAR, the parties received the following results: CHP 32.5%, AKP 30.6%, MHP 10.1%, DEM 9.4%, ZP 4.3%, İYİ 3.6%, YRP 3%, TİP 2%, AP 1.1%, BBP 1.1% and MP 1.1%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 30.04.2025 - 30.04.2025. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
01.04.2025 - 30.04.2025
BETİMAR
CHP
32.5
+5.2
AKP
30.6
-3.0
MHP
10.1
+0.8
DEM
9.4
-0.4
ZP
4.3
-1.0
İYİ
3.6
-1.3
YRP
3.0
-1.2
TİP
2.0
-0.3
AP
1.1
-0.7
BBP
1.1
+1.1
MP
1.1
+1.1
Others
1.2
-0.3

Seats in parliament

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
237
39.5%
DEM
68
11.3%
AKP
222
37%
MHP
73
12.2%
CHP + DEM
50.8%
AKP + MHP
49.2%
AKP + DEM
48.3%

60

PolitPro Score

BETİMAR achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKP
0
43
57
AP
Not enough data available
BBP
Not enough data available
CHP
57
43
0
DEM
29
57
14
MHP
14
43
43
MP
Not enough data available
TİP
0
100
0
YRP
57
29
14
ZP
14
71
14
İYİ
43
57
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.9

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in BETİMAR pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.94
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 10/28

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.