Current election polls and polling data from BETİMAR

Latest voting intention survey by BETİMAR for Turkey

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by BETİMAR, the parties received the following results: AKP 33.6%, CHP 27.3%, DEM 9.8%, MHP 9.3%, ZP 5.3%, İYİ 4.9%, YRP 4.2%, TİP 2.3% and AP 1.8%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1750 people during the period 12.12.2024 - 12.12.2024.
1750 participants
11.12.2024 - 12.12.2024
BETİMAR
AKP
33.6
+1.7
CHP
27.3
-2.3
DEM
9.8
+1.4
MHP
9.3
+1.6
ZP
5.3
-1.1
İYİ
4.9
-0.8
YRP
4.2
+0.7
TİP
2.3
+0.9
AP
1.8
+1.8
Others
1.5
-3.9

Seats in parliament

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
205
34.2%
DEM
73
12.2%
AKP
253
42.2%
MHP
69
11.5%
AKP + DEM
54.3%
AKP + MHP
53.7%
CHP + DEM
46.3%

60

PolitPro Score

BETİMAR achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKP
0
33
67
CHP
50
50
0
DEM
33
50
17
MHP
17
50
33
TİP
0
100
0
YRP
67
17
17
ZP
17
67
17
İYİ
33
67
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.9

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in BETİMAR pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.94
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 10/28

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.