Current election polls and polling data from Gezici

Latest voting intention survey by Gezici for Turkey

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by Gezici, the parties received the following results: AKP 39.1%, CHP 29%, DEM 9.6%, İYİ 8%, MHP 6.3%, ZP 2.5%, MP 2.3% and TİP 1.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 3577 people during the period 07.05.2023 - 07.05.2023.
3577 participants
06.05.2023 - 07.05.2023
Gezici
AKP
39.1
+3.7
CHP
29.0
+2.3
DEM
9.6
-1.6
İYİ
8.0
-3.2
MHP
6.3
-2.5
ZP
2.5
+2.5
MP
2.3
+2.3
TİP
1.6
+1.6
Others
1.6
-5.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
204
34%
DEM
67
11.2%
AKP
274
45.7%
İYİ
55
9.2%
AKP + DEM
56.8%
AKP + İYİ
54.8%
AKP
45.7%

40

PolitPro Score

Gezici achieves a score of 40/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKP
0
60
40
CHP
0
60
40
DEM
Not enough data available
MHP
20
40
40
MP
Not enough data available
TİP
Not enough data available
ZP
Not enough data available
İYİ
100
0
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.7

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Gezici pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.7 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
2.72
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 20/28

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.