Latest polls from İEA
33.7
25.8
13.9
11.2
6.8
1.9
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.5
Rating of parties
Institute often rates AKP higher
In 32% of election polls, İEA rates AKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CHP lower
In 77% of election polls İEA rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates İYİ higher
In 68% of election polls, İEA rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in İEA pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, İEA's average ranking is 8.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
1x on rank 8