Current election polls and polling data from Optimar

Latest voting intention survey by Optimar for Turkey

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by Optimar, the parties received the following results: AKP 38%, CHP 27.7%, MHP 8.7%, İYİ 8.4%, DEM 8.1%, TİP 2.6%, MP 2.5%, YRP 1.3%, ZP 1.2% and BBP 1%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 10.05.2023 - 10.05.2023. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
01.05.2023 - 10.05.2023
Optimar
AKP
38.0
-0.4
CHP
27.7
+3.4
MHP
8.7
-1.8
İYİ
8.4
-2.0
DEM
8.1
-3.4
TİP
2.6
+2.6
MP
2.5
+2.5
YRP
1.3
+1.3
ZP
1.2
+1.2
BBP
1.0
+0.4
Others
0.5
-3.8
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
184
30.7%
DEM
53
8.8%
AKP
251
41.8%
İYİ
55
9.2%
MHP
57
9.5%
AKP + MHP
51.3%
AKP + İYİ
51.0%
AKP + DEM
50.7%

48

PolitPro Score

Optimar achieves a score of 48/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKP
0
0
100
BBP
Not enough data available
CHP
29
57
14
DEM
Not enough data available
MHP
14
43
43
MP
Not enough data available
TİP
Not enough data available
YRP
Not enough data available
ZP
Not enough data available
İYİ
71
29
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.7

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Optimar pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.66
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 3/28

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.