Latest polls from ORC
28.3
28.1
11.7
9.3
6.3
2.5
2.3
2
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.2
1
1.4
Rating of parties
Institute often rates AKP lower
In 69% of election polls ORC rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CHP lower
In 64% of election polls ORC rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates İYİ higher
In 67% of election polls, ORC rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in ORC pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, ORC's average ranking is 15.0.
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