Current election polls and polling data from Spectrum House

Latest voting intention survey by Spectrum House for Turkey

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by Spectrum House, the parties received the following results: CHP 32.4%, AKP 31.3%, DEM 10.5%, MHP 7.1%, İYİ 4.5%, ZP 4.3%, YRP 3.6%, AP 2.1% and TİP 1.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2028 people during the period 03.12.2024 - 03.12.2024.
2028 participants
25.11.2024 - 03.12.2024
Spectrum House
CHP
32.4
-1.1
AKP
31.3
+4.2
DEM
10.5
-0.1
MHP
7.1
-2.4
İYİ
4.5
-0.7
ZP
4.3
-1.3
YRP
3.6
-0.9
AP
2.1
+2.1
TİP
1.3
+1.3
Others
2.9
-1.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
240
40%
DEM
77
12.8%
AKP
231
38.5%
MHP
52
8.7%
CHP + DEM
52.8%
AKP + DEM
51.3%
AKP + MHP
47.2%

?

PolitPro Score

Spectrum House achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKP
Not enough data available
CHP
Not enough data available
DEM
Not enough data available
MHP
Not enough data available
TİP
Not enough data available
YRP
Not enough data available
ZP
Not enough data available
İYİ
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.