Current election polls and polling data from TEAM

Latest voting intention survey by TEAM for Turkey

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Turkey conducted by TEAM, the parties received the following results: CHP 38.4%, AKP 34.5%, DEM 7.5%, MHP 6.1%, ZP 3.5%, İYİ 3.1%, YRP 2.1%, AP 1.7% and TİP 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 900 people during the period 04.04.2025.
900 participants
04.04.2025
TEAM
CHP
38.4
+10.8
AKP
34.5
-1.4
DEM
7.5
-3.7
MHP
6.1
-1.4
ZP
3.5
+3.3
İYİ
3.1
-8.4
YRP
2.1
+1.0
AP
1.7
+1.7
TİP
1.0
-0.2
Others
2.1
-1.7

Seats in parliament

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
287
47.8%
DEM
55
9.2%
AKP
258
43%
CHP + DEM
57.0%
AKP + DEM
52.2%
CHP
47.8%

47

PolitPro Score

TEAM achieves a score of 47/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKP
0
0
100
AP
Not enough data available
CHP
0
86
14
DEM
Not enough data available
MHP
14
86
0
TİP
Not enough data available
YRP
Not enough data available
ZP
Not enough data available
İYİ
86
14
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.9

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in TEAM pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.9
Parliamentary Election in Türkei 2023 8/28

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.