PolitPro

Turkey Asal Araştırma: Poll for Turkey's Parliamentary Election on 9 November 2025

Strongest Force
CHP
1.6 points ahead of AKP
Government Majority
No Majority
230 of 600 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2028
estimated
Advertisement Prefer ad-free? Get PolitPro+ now

Voting Intention Poll for Turkey's Parliamentary Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Asal Araştırma: single poll for Turkey's parliamentary election, fieldwork concluding on 9 November 2025.

Changes since the last election on 14 May 2023

CHP
32.8
+7.4
AKP
31.2
-4.3
DEM
8.9
+0.1
MHP
8.3
-1.8
İYİ
5.5
-4.3
ZP
4.2
+1.9
YRP
2.9
+0.1
A
1.9
+1.9
TİP
1.3
-0.4
Other
3.0
Institute
Asal Araştırma
Client
N/A
Survey Period
01/11/2025 – 09/11/2025
Respondents
2,015
Turkey's current government lacks a majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 38.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Asal Araştırma?

In a recent voting intention poll for Turkey conducted by Asal Araştırma, CHP leads with 32.8%, followed by AKP with 31.2%, DEM with 8.9%, MHP with 8.3%, İYİ with 5.5%, Zafer Partisi with 4.2%, Yeniden Refah Partisi with 2.9%, Anahtar Parti with 1.9% and TİP with 1.3%. Other parties achieve 3% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Advertisement Prefer ad-free? Get PolitPro+ now

Asal Araştırma: how reliable is the projection?

? PolitPro Score

No score calculated yet

Avg. deviation in elections
–

No election comparison yet

Recorded polls
0

Last on 9 November 2025

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

No significant deviations from the Election Trend

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

To Institute

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
301
0 600
Majority 301

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 7%.

Advertisement

Asal Araştırma: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 4 parties would surpass the electoral threshold to enter the Grand National Assembly of Turkey: CHP with 243 seats, AKP with 230 seats, DEM with 66 seats and MHP with 61 seats.

Turkey's Electoral System

[ui/faq.electoral-system.body]

Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

[ui/faq.threshold.body]

Government formation and coalition traditions

[ui/faq.government-coalitions.body]

More from PolitPro

API & Data Access Access our data programmatically – for editorial teams, think tanks, and teams that need Election Trends directly in their workflow. Research Data Use our prepared datasets for research and teaching. App & Community Discuss current polls in a growing, respectful political community.

Data & Feedback

Political data changes daily. Noticed outdated info, a number, or a date? Write to us – preferably with a source, so we can quickly verify the change.

Report Correction Feedback Survey (1 Minute)

Support PolitPro

Your support protects PolitPro from the influence of lobby groups and parties.

Data Basis & Transparency

PolitPro

PolitPro combines scientific data and current poll values to make politics tangible for everyone. We use datasets from leading research projects and supplement them with our own research, analyses, and algorithms. This way, we make complex political contexts understandable and accessible to all. Supported by AI.

Advertisement Prefer ad-free? Get PolitPro+ now