Turkey: Poll by Optimar from 09.12.2020

Turkey: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AKP
41.2
+0.1
CHP
23.7
-0.1
MHP
11.1
+1.6
İYİ
10.9
+1.6
HDP
8.4
-2.1
SP
0.9
+0.9
Others
3.8
-2.0
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
+5.7
CHP
-1.7
MHP
+1.0
İYİ
+1.1
HDP
New
SP
New
Optimar – 2253 respondents – 03.12.2020-09.12.2020

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP higher

In 100% of election polls, Optimar rates AKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ lower

In 71% of election polls Optimar rates İYİ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MHP higher

In 43% of election polls, Optimar rates MHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from Optimar shows the following results: AKP 41.2%, CHP 23.7%, MHP 11.1%, İYİ 10.9%, HDP 8.4% and Saadet 0.9%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, AKP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. CHP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Optimar. For this purpose, 2253 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (03.12.2020 - 09.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by Optimar. The survey took place between 03.12.2020 and 09.12.2020 among 2253 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 41.2%, CHP 23.7%, MHP 11.1%, İYİ 10.9%, HDP 8.4% and Saadet 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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