Turkey: Poll by ArtiBir from 30.04.2022

Polling data

AKP
29.7
+0.2
CHP
27.2
-0.2
İYİ
14.2
±0.0
HDP
12.6
-0.6
MHP
6.2
-0.5
DEVA
4.6
+0.3
GP
2.3
+0.2
SP
1.8
+0.2
Sonst.
1.4
+0.4
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
ArtiBir – 1500 respondents – 21.04.2022-30.04.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates AKP lower
In 65% of election polls ArtiBir rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CHP higher
In 53% of election polls, ArtiBir rates CHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DEVA higher
In 50% of election polls, ArtiBir rates DEVA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates HDP higher
In 69% of election polls, ArtiBir rates HDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates MHP lower
In 35% of election polls ArtiBir rates MHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from ArtiBir shows the following results: AKP 29.7%, CHP 27.2%, İYİ 14.2%, HDP 12.6%, MHP 6.2%, DEVA 4.6%, Gelecek 2.3% and Saadet 1.8%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, İYİ might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.4 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 35.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ArtiBir. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (21.04.2022 - 30.04.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
AKP + İYİ
AKP + HDP
CHP + HDP

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ArtiBir. The survey took place between 21.04.2022 and 30.04.2022 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 29.7%, CHP 27.2%, İYİ 14.2%, HDP 12.6%, MHP 6.2%, DEVA 4.6%, Gelecek 2.3% and Saadet 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.