Turkey: Poll by AR-G from 30.09.2022

Polling data

AKP
29.8
+0.9
CHP
25.9
-0.4
İYİ
14.1
-2.5
HDP
10.5
+0.8
MHP
6.9
+0.1
ZP
3.2
+1.3
DEVA
1.8
-0.1
YRP
1.8
+0.8
SP
1.3
-0.1
TİP
1.0
+1.0
GP
0.6
-0.3
MP
0.5
±0.0
Others
2.6
-1.5
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-5.7
CHP
+0.5
İYİ
+4.3
HDP
New
MHP
-3.2
ZP
+0.9
DEVA
New
YRP
-1.0
SP
New
TİP
-0.7
GP
New
MP
-0.4
AR-G – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 01.09.2022-30.09.2022

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from AR-G shows the following results: AKP 29.8%, CHP 25.9%, İYİ 14.1%, HDP 10.5%, MHP 6.9%, ZP 3.2%, DEVA 1.8%, YRP 1.8%, Saadet 1.3%, TİP 1%, Gelecek 0.6% and MP 0.5%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, İYİ might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 37.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by AR-G. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.09.2022 - 30.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
HDP
0.0%
CHP + HDP
0.0%
AKP + HDP
0.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by AR-G. The poll took place between 01.09.2022 and 30.09.2022. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get AKP 29.8%, CHP 25.9%, İYİ 14.1%, HDP 10.5%, MHP 6.9%, ZP 3.2%, DEVA 1.8%, YRP 1.8%, Saadet 1.3%, TİP 1%, Gelecek 0.6% and MP 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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