Turkey: Poll by ALF from 03.10.2022

Turkey: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CHP
29.1
+1.1
AKP
28.6
+1.4
İYİ
14.1
-2.8
HDP
8.3
+0.3
MHP
6.0
-0.2
ZP
2.5
+0.2
DEVA
2.2
-0.3
GP
2.0
+0.7
TDP
1.9
-0.1
BTP
1.8
+0.1
MP
1.4
±0.0
SP
1.0
-0.1
Others
1.1
-0.3
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+3.7
AKP
-6.9
İYİ
+4.3
HDP
New
MHP
-4.1
ZP
+0.2
DEVA
New
GP
New
TDP
New
BTP
New
MP
+0.5
SP
New
ALF – 2560 respondents – 01.10.2022-03.10.2022

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP lower

In 68% of election polls ALF rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP higher

In 41% of election polls, ALF rates CHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates HDP lower

In 63% of election polls ALF rates HDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ higher

In 50% of election polls, ALF rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from ALF shows the following results: CHP 29.1%, AKP 28.6%, İYİ 14.1%, HDP 8.3%, MHP 6%, ZP 2.5%, DEVA 2.2%, Gelecek 2%, TDP 1.9%, BTP 1.8%, MP 1.4% and Saadet 1%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, İYİ might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ALF. For this purpose, 2560 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (01.10.2022 - 03.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ALF. The survey took place between 01.10.2022 and 03.10.2022 among 2560 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 29.1%, AKP 28.6%, İYİ 14.1%, HDP 8.3%, MHP 6%, ZP 2.5%, DEVA 2.2%, Gelecek 2%, TDP 1.9%, BTP 1.8%, MP 1.4% and Saadet 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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