Turkey: Poll by ASAL from 24.11.2022

Turkey: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AKP
37.7
-0.7
CHP
24.4
+0.9
İYİ
11.2
+0.2
HDP
10.4
-0.3
MHP
8.7
-0.4
YRP
1.4
+0.3
DEVA
1.2
-0.2
ZP
1.0
-0.5
SP
0.8
-0.1
GP
0.8
-0.1
BBP
0.6
-0.2
MP
0.6
-0.1
Others
1.2
+1.2
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
+2.2
CHP
-1.0
İYİ
+1.4
HDP
New
MHP
-1.4
YRP
-1.4
DEVA
New
ZP
-1.3
SP
New
GP
New
BBP
-0.4
MP
-0.3
ASAL – 2500 respondents – 15.11.2022-24.11.2022

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP higher

In 56% of election polls, ASAL rates AKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP lower

In 39% of election polls ASAL rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Gelecek lower

In 43% of election polls ASAL rates Gelecek lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ lower

In 33% of election polls ASAL rates İYİ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MHP higher

In 33% of election polls, ASAL rates MHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from ASAL shows the following results: AKP 37.7%, CHP 24.4%, İYİ 11.2%, HDP 10.4%, MHP 8.7%, YRP 1.4%, DEVA 1.2%, ZP 1%, Saadet 0.8%, Gelecek 0.8%, BBP 0.6% and MP 0.6%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, AKP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. MHP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ASAL. For this purpose, 2500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (15.11.2022 - 24.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ASAL. The survey took place between 15.11.2022 and 24.11.2022 among 2500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 37.7%, CHP 24.4%, İYİ 11.2%, HDP 10.4%, MHP 8.7%, YRP 1.4%, DEVA 1.2%, ZP 1%, Saadet 0.8%, Gelecek 0.8%, BBP 0.6% and MP 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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