Turkey: Poll by PIAR from 18.12.2022

Polling data

AKP
29.8
+1.2
CHP
26.7
-1.4
İYİ
10.3
-1.4
HDP
9.8
±0.0
MHP
9.1
+0.5
GP
3.8
+0.9
ZP
3.0
+0.3
DEVA
2.3
+0.8
BTP
2.0
+0.1
Others
3.2
-1.0
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-5.7
CHP
+1.3
İYİ
+0.5
HDP
New
MHP
-1.0
GP
New
ZP
+0.7
DEVA
New
BTP
New
PIAR – 2618 respondents – 15.12.2022-18.12.2022

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP lower

In 53% of election polls PIAR rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP lower

In 41% of election polls PIAR rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ lower

In 71% of election polls PIAR rates İYİ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MHP higher

In 53% of election polls, PIAR rates MHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from PIAR shows the following results: AKP 29.8%, CHP 26.7%, İYİ 10.3%, HDP 9.8%, MHP 9.1%, Gelecek 3.8%, ZP 3%, DEVA 2.3% and BTP 2%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by PIAR. For this purpose, 2618 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (15.12.2022 - 18.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
MHP
0.0%
AKP + MHP
0.0%
HDP
0.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by PIAR. The survey took place between 15.12.2022 and 18.12.2022 among 2618 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 29.8%, CHP 26.7%, İYİ 10.3%, HDP 9.8%, MHP 9.1%, Gelecek 3.8%, ZP 3%, DEVA 2.3% and BTP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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