Turkey: Poll by Sosyo from 02.01.2023

Turkey: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AKP
33.2
+3.2
CHP
28.5
-0.2
İYİ
13.3
-2.4
HDP
13.1
-0.7
MHP
6.5
+1.7
DEVA
2.9
-1.6
SP
0.8
-0.6
GP
0.7
-0.4
TİP
0.6
+0.6
ZP
0.4
+0.4
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-2.3
CHP
+3.1
İYİ
+3.5
HDP
+13.1
MHP
-3.6
DEVA
+2.9
SP
+0.8
GP
+0.7
TİP
-1.1
ZP
-1.9
Sosyo – 1582 respondents – 23.12.2022-02.01.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP lower

In 38% of election polls Sosyo rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP higher

In 75% of election polls, Sosyo rates CHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DEVA higher

In 38% of election polls, Sosyo rates DEVA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates HDP higher

In 57% of election polls, Sosyo rates HDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ lower

In 50% of election polls Sosyo rates İYİ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from Sosyo shows the following results: AKP 33.2%, CHP 28.5%, İYİ 13.3%, HDP 13.1%, MHP 6.5%, DEVA 2.9%, Saadet 0.8%, Gelecek 0.7%, TİP 0.6% and ZP 0.4%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, HDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.1 growth since the last election. MHP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Sosyo. For this purpose, 1582 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (23.12.2022 - 02.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by Sosyo. The survey took place between 23.12.2022 and 02.01.2023 among 1582 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 33.2%, CHP 28.5%, İYİ 13.3%, HDP 13.1%, MHP 6.5%, DEVA 2.9%, Saadet 0.8%, Gelecek 0.7%, TİP 0.6% and ZP 0.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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