Turkey
Election trend
Parties

Turkey: Poll by İEA from 20.02.2023

Polling data

AKP
33.7
+1.4
CHP
25.8
-0.1
İYİ
13.9
-2.9
HDP
11.2
-0.4
MHP
6.8
+0.1
ZP
1.9
+1.9
MP
1.5
+1.5
TİP
1.4
+1.4
DEVA
1.3
-0.4
YRP
1.3
+1.3
GP
0.7
+0.7
Sonst.
0.5
-4.5
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-1.8
CHP
+0.4
İYİ
+4.1
HDP
MHP
-3.3
ZP
-0.4
MP
+0.6
TİP
-0.3
DEVA
YRP
-1.5
GP
İEA – 2000 respondents – 16.02.2023-20.02.2023
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates AKP higher
In 33% of election polls, İEA rates AKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CHP lower
In 81% of election polls İEA rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates HDP higher
In 52% of election polls, İEA rates HDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates İYİ higher
In 71% of election polls, İEA rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from İEA shows the following results: AKP 33.7%, CHP 25.8%, İYİ 13.9%, HDP 11.2%, MHP 6.8%, ZP 1.9%, MP 1.5%, TİP 1.4%, DEVA 1.3%, YRP 1.3% and Gelecek 0.7%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, İYİ might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.1 growth since the last election. MHP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 39.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by İEA. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (16.02.2023 - 20.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
AKP + İYİ
0
AKP + HDP
0
CHP + HDP
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by İEA. The survey took place between 16.02.2023 and 20.02.2023 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 33.7%, CHP 25.8%, İYİ 13.9%, HDP 11.2%, MHP 6.8%, ZP 1.9%, MP 1.5%, TİP 1.4%, DEVA 1.3%, YRP 1.3% and Gelecek 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.