Turkey
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Turkey: Poll by AR-G from 14.03.2023

Polling data

AKP
31.4
+1.6
CHP
27.6
+1.7
İYİ
12.9
-1.2
HDP
12.1
+1.6
MHP
6.6
-0.3
DEVA
1.6
-0.2
SP
1.3
±0.0
MP
1.3
+0.8
ZP
1.1
-2.1
GP
0.9
+0.3
DP
0.4
+0.4
Others
2.8
+0.0
Development since the last election on 24.06.2018
AKP
-11.2
CHP
+4.9
İYİ
+2.9
HDP
+0.4
MHP
-4.5
DEVA
SP
±0.0
MP
ZP
GP
DP
AR-G – 1472 respondents – 01.03.2023-14.03.2023

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from AR-G shows the following results: AKP 31.4%, CHP 27.6%, İYİ 12.9%, HDP 12.1%, MHP 6.6%, DEVA 1.6%, Saadet 1.3%, MP 1.3%, ZP 1.1%, Gelecek 0.9% and DP 0.4%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP. With 37.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by AR-G. For this purpose, 1472 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (01.03.2023 - 14.03.2023).

Next election: 14.05.2023
The next general election in Turkey will be held in 43.

Coalition possibilities

AKP + İYİ
52.8
AKP + HDP
51.8
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 37.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by AR-G. The survey took place between 01.03.2023 and 14.03.2023 among 1472 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 31.4%, CHP 27.6%, İYİ 12.9%, HDP 12.1%, MHP 6.6%, DEVA 1.6%, Saadet 1.3%, MP 1.3%, ZP 1.1%, Gelecek 0.9% and DP 0.4%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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