Turkey
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Turkey: Poll by ORC from 15.03.2023

Polling data

CHP
28.3
+4.8
AKP
28.1
-1.0
İYİ
11.7
-7.8
HDP
9.3
+1.2
MHP
6.3
+0.9
GP
2.5
±0.0
MP
2.3
+1.0
DEVA
2.0
-0.3
BBP
1.6
+0.1
TİP
1.5
+1.5
ZP
1.5
-0.5
TDP
1.3
-0.5
YRP
1.2
+0.2
BTP
1.0
+1.0
Others
1.4
0.0
Development since the last election on 24.06.2018
CHP
+5.6
AKP
-14.5
İYİ
+1.7
HDP
-2.4
MHP
-4.8
GP
MP
DEVA
BBP
TİP
ZP
TDP
YRP
BTP
ORC – 4540 respondents – 11.03.2023-15.03.2023

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from ORC shows the following results: CHP 28.3%, AKP 28.1%, İYİ 11.7%, HDP 9.3%, MHP 6.3%, Gelecek 2.5%, MP 2.3%, DEVA 2%, BBP 1.6%, TİP 1.5%, ZP 1.5%, TDP 1.3%, YRP 1.2% and BTP 1%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP. With 36.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ORC. For this purpose, 4540 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (11.03.2023 - 15.03.2023).

Next election: 14.05.2023
The next general election in Turkey will be held in 43.

Coalition possibilities

AKP + İYİ
51.4
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 36.3% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ORC. The survey took place between 11.03.2023 and 15.03.2023 among 4540 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 28.3%, AKP 28.1%, İYİ 11.7%, HDP 9.3%, MHP 6.3%, Gelecek 2.5%, MP 2.3%, DEVA 2%, BBP 1.6%, TİP 1.5%, ZP 1.5%, TDP 1.3%, YRP 1.2% and BTP 1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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