Turkey
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Turkey: Poll by ORC from 01.05.2023

Polling data

AKP
33.2
+0.4
CHP
28.0
-0.6
İYİ
15.5
+0.4
DEM
9.6
+0.3
MHP
5.7
-0.6
TİP
2.0
+0.6
MP
1.9
-0.8
BBP
1.6
+1.6
YRP
1.3
+0.1
Sonst.
1.2
-1.4
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-2.3
CHP
+2.6
İYİ
+5.7
DEM
+0.8
MHP
-4.4
TİP
+0.3
MP
+1.0
BBP
+0.6
YRP
-1.5
ORC – 3950 respondents – 29.04.2023-01.05.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP lower

In 69% of election polls ORC rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP lower

In 64% of election polls ORC rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ higher

In 67% of election polls, ORC rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from ORC shows the following results: AKP 33.2%, CHP 28%, İYİ 15.5%, DEM 9.6%, MHP 5.7%, TİP 2%, MP 1.9%, BBP 1.6% and YRP 1.3%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, İYİ might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. MHP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 38.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ORC. For this purpose, 3950 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (29.04.2023 - 01.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
AKP + İYİ
0
AKP + DEM
0
CHP + DEM
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ORC. The survey took place between 29.04.2023 and 01.05.2023 among 3950 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 33.2%, CHP 28%, İYİ 15.5%, DEM 9.6%, MHP 5.7%, TİP 2%, MP 1.9%, BBP 1.6% and YRP 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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