Turkey: Poll by Tüsiar from 30.06.2024

Polling data

CHP
30.6
+7.1
AKP
30.3
-6.9
MHP
10.7
+2.8
DEM
9.2
+9.2
YRP
8.2
+6.2
ZP
3.6
+2.5
İYİ
2.4
-8.8
Others
5.0
-12.1
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+5.2
AKP
-5.2
MHP
+0.6
DEM
+0.4
YRP
+5.4
ZP
+1.3
İYİ
-7.4
Tüsiar – 3135 respondents – 25.06.2024-30.06.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from Tüsiar shows the following results: CHP 30.6%, AKP 30.3%, MHP 10.7%, DEM 9.2%, YRP 8.2%, ZP 3.6% and İYİ 2.4%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, YRP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. İYİ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 46.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Tüsiar. For this purpose, 3135 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (25.06.2024 - 30.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
207
34.4%
DEM
61
10.3%
AKP
205
34%
MHP
72
12%
YRP
55
9.2%
AKP + MHP + YRP
55.3%
AKP + MHP
46.2%
CHP + DEM
44.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by Tüsiar. The survey took place between 25.06.2024 and 30.06.2024 among 3135 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 30.6%, AKP 30.3%, MHP 10.7%, DEM 9.2%, YRP 8.2%, ZP 3.6% and İYİ 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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