Turkey
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Turkey: Poll by MetroPOLL from 16.07.2024

Polling data

CHP
33.8
+1.0
AKP
26.1
-6.3
DEM
10.3
-0.2
MHP
7.6
+0.6
İYİ
5.8
±0.0
ZP
5.7
+5.7
YRP
4.7
+0.2
TİP
1.4
+1.4
MP
1.0
+1.0
DEVA
0.4
+0.4
Sonst.
3.2
-3.8
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+8.4
AKP
-9.4
DEM
+1.5
MHP
-2.5
İYİ
-4.0
ZP
+3.4
YRP
+1.9
TİP
-0.3
MP
+0.1
DEVA
New
MetroPOLL – 1699 respondents – 12.07.2024-16.07.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP higher

In 61% of election polls, MetroPOLL rates AKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP lower

In 47% of election polls MetroPOLL rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MHP lower

In 39% of election polls MetroPOLL rates MHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from MetroPOLL shows the following results: CHP 33.8%, AKP 26.1%, DEM 10.3%, MHP 7.6%, İYİ 5.8%, ZP 5.7%, YRP 4.7%, TİP 1.4%, MP 1% and DEVA 0.4%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.4 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 43.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by MetroPOLL. For this purpose, 1699 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (12.07.2024 - 16.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
CHP
261
DEM
79
AKP
202
MHP
58
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP + DEM
340
AKP + DEM
281
AKP + MHP
260

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by MetroPOLL. The survey took place between 12.07.2024 and 16.07.2024 among 1699 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 33.8%, AKP 26.1%, DEM 10.3%, MHP 7.6%, İYİ 5.8%, ZP 5.7%, YRP 4.7%, TİP 1.4%, MP 1% and DEVA 0.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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