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Turkey: Poll by HBS from 16.08.2024

Polling data

CHP
33.2
+0.7
AKP
30.6
-0.3
MHP
10.8
+0.3
DEM
9.1
+0.4
YRP
5.7
-0.2
İYİ
5.3
-0.5
ZP
2.1
-0.4
TİP
1.3
-0.4
Sonst.
1.9
+0.4
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+7.8
AKP
-4.9
MHP
+0.7
DEM
+0.3
YRP
+2.9
İYİ
-4.5
ZP
-0.2
TİP
-0.4
HBS – 2400 respondents – 14.08.2024-16.08.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from HBS shows the following results: CHP 33.2%, AKP 30.6%, MHP 10.8%, DEM 9.1%, YRP 5.7%, İYİ 5.3%, ZP 2.1% and TİP 1.3%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.8 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 49.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by HBS. For this purpose, 2400 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (14.08.2024 - 16.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
CHP
238
DEM
65
AKP
220
MHP
77
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP + DEM
303
AKP + MHP
297
AKP + DEM
285

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by HBS. The survey took place between 14.08.2024 and 16.08.2024 among 2400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 33.2%, AKP 30.6%, MHP 10.8%, DEM 9.1%, YRP 5.7%, İYİ 5.3%, ZP 2.1% and TİP 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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