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Turkey: Poll by ALF from 16.08.2024

Polling data

AKP
32.2
-0.3
CHP
31.7
+2.1
MHP
10.4
-0.3
DEM
10.2
+0.6
YRP
4.8
-0.8
ZP
4.5
±0.0
İYİ
2.5
-0.4
Sonst.
3.7
-0.9
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-3.3
CHP
+6.3
MHP
+0.3
DEM
+1.4
YRP
+2.0
ZP
+2.2
İYİ
-7.3
ALF – 2650 respondents – 12.08.2024-16.08.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP lower

In 79% of election polls ALF rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP higher

In 42% of election polls, ALF rates CHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ higher

In 53% of election polls, ALF rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from ALF shows the following results: AKP 32.2%, CHP 31.7%, MHP 10.4%, DEM 10.2%, YRP 4.8%, ZP 4.5% and İYİ 2.5%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.3 growth since the last election. İYİ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 50.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by ALF. For this purpose, 2650 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (12.08.2024 - 16.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
CHP
226
DEM
72
AKP
229
MHP
73
Majority requires 301 seats
AKP + MHP
302
AKP + DEM
301
CHP + DEM
298

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ALF. The survey took place between 12.08.2024 and 16.08.2024 among 2650 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 32.2%, CHP 31.7%, MHP 10.4%, DEM 10.2%, YRP 4.8%, ZP 4.5% and İYİ 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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