Turkey: Poll by BETİMAR from 04.11.2024

Polling data

AKP
31.9
+0.5
CHP
29.6
-0.5
DEM
8.4
-1.6
MHP
7.7
-2.7
ZP
6.4
+2.5
İYİ
5.7
+1.3
YRP
3.5
±0.0
A
3.4
+1.7
TİP
1.4
±0.0
Others
2.0
-1.2
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-3.6
CHP
+4.2
DEM
-0.4
MHP
-2.4
ZP
+4.1
İYİ
-4.1
YRP
+0.7
A
New
TİP
-0.3
BETİMAR – 1515 respondents – 02.11.2024-04.11.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from BETİMAR shows the following results: AKP 31.9%, CHP 29.6%, DEM 8.4%, MHP 7.7%, ZP 6.4%, İYİ 5.7%, YRP 3.5%, Anahtar Parti 3.4% and TİP 1.4%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. İYİ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 51.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by BETİMAR. For this purpose, 1515 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (02.11.2024 - 04.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
229
38.2%
DEM
65
10.8%
AKP
247
41.2%
MHP
59
9.8%
AKP + DEM
52.0%
AKP + MHP
51.0%
CHP + DEM
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by BETİMAR. The survey took place between 02.11.2024 and 04.11.2024 among 1515 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 31.9%, CHP 29.6%, DEM 8.4%, MHP 7.7%, ZP 6.4%, İYİ 5.7%, YRP 3.5%, Anahtar Parti 3.4% and TİP 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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