Turkey: Poll by MAK from 12.11.2024

Polling data

CHP
31.2
±0.0
AKP
30.1
+0.1
DEM
7.5
-1.1
İYİ
7.5
+1.1
MHP
7.5
-1.1
YRP
6.5
-1.0
ZP
4.3
+2.1
DEVA
1.1
-0.1
SP
1.1
±0.0
TİP
1.1
±0.0
Others
2.1
0.0
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+5.8
AKP
-5.4
DEM
-1.3
İYİ
-2.3
MHP
-2.6
YRP
+3.7
ZP
+2.0
DEVA
New
SP
New
TİP
-0.6
MAK – 3200 respondents – 02.11.2024-12.11.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates CHP lower

In 50% of election polls MAK rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ higher

In 42% of election polls, MAK rates İYİ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from MAK shows the following results: CHP 31.2%, AKP 30.1%, DEM 7.5%, İYİ 7.5%, MHP 7.5%, YRP 6.5%, ZP 4.3%, DEVA 1.1%, Saadet 1.1% and TİP 1.1%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.8 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 44.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by MAK. For this purpose, 3200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (02.11.2024 - 12.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
224
37.3%
DEM
54
9%
AKP
216
36%
İYİ
53
8.8%
MHP
53
8.8%
AKP + DEM + İYİ
53.8%
AKP + MHP + İYİ
53.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by MAK. The survey took place between 02.11.2024 and 12.11.2024 among 3200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 31.2%, AKP 30.1%, DEM 7.5%, İYİ 7.5%, MHP 7.5%, YRP 6.5%, ZP 4.3%, DEVA 1.1%, Saadet 1.1% and TİP 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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