Turkey: Poll by HBS from 30.12.2024

Polling data

CHP
32.3
-0.1
AKP
30.3
+1.2
DEM
9.4
-0.5
MHP
9.2
+0.2
İYİ
5.7
+0.1
ZP
5.3
+1.8
YRP
4.5
-2.1
AP
2.1
+2.1
Others
1.2
-2.7
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
CHP
+6.9
AKP
-5.2
DEM
+0.6
MHP
-0.9
İYİ
-4.1
ZP
+3.0
YRP
+1.7
AP
New
HBS – 3200 respondents – 01.12.2024-30.12.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Turkey from HBS shows the following results: CHP 32.3%, AKP 30.3%, DEM 9.4%, MHP 9.2%, İYİ 5.7%, ZP 5.3%, YRP 4.5% and AP 2.1%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 48.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by HBS. For this purpose, 3200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.12.2024 - 30.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

600
Majority requires 301 seats
CHP
239
39.8%
DEM
70
11.7%
AKP
224
37.3%
MHP
67
11.2%
CHP + DEM
51.5%
AKP + DEM
49.0%
AKP + MHP
48.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by HBS. The survey took place between 01.12.2024 and 30.12.2024 among 3200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CHP 32.3%, AKP 30.3%, DEM 9.4%, MHP 9.2%, İYİ 5.7%, ZP 5.3%, YRP 4.5% and AP 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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