Polls, trends and elections for Tyrol

In the current election trend in Tyrol, ÖVP leads with 33%. This is a loss of -1.7 percentage points since the last election.

FPÖ lands at 21% and gains +2.2 percentage points since the last election.

SPÖ reaches 17% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.5 percentage points).

Liste Fritz Dinkhauser lands at 12% and gains +2.1 percentage points since the last election.

GRÜNE reaches 9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.2 percentage points).

NEOS reaches 6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.3 percentage points).

2% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

If there were an election this Sunday in Tyrol, the government from ÖVP and SPÖ would secure 51% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser, GRÜNE and NEOS reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 65% - 35% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

The latest poll for the election in Tyrol was published by Market. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 33%, FPÖ 21%, SPÖ 17%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 12%, GRÜNE 9% and NEOS 6%.

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from ÖVP, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser and GRÜNE, Coalition from ÖVP and FPÖ and Coalition from ÖVP and SPÖ each achieve a majority in parliament.

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Tyrol shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Tyrol in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Tyrol took place on 25.09.2022.

In the parliament of Tyrol, there are 36 representatives from 6 parties. 21 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and SPÖ. The opposition from FPÖ, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser, GRÜNE and NEOS has 15 representatives.

13 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 21 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

In Tyrol, a coalition of ÖVP and SPÖ governs.

The next election in Tyrol is expected to take place in the year 2027.

In Tyrol, a coalition of ÖVP and SPÖ governs.

The latest poll for the election in Tyrol was published by Market. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 33%, FPÖ 21%, SPÖ 17%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 12%, GRÜNE 9% and NEOS 6%.

In the parliament of Tyrol, there are 36 representatives from 6 parties. 21 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and SPÖ. The opposition from FPÖ, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser, GRÜNE and NEOS has 15 representatives.