Polling data
ÖVP
52.0
+5.0
GRÜNE
15.0
-4.0
FPÖ
10.0
-1.0
SPÖ
9.0
-1.0
NEOS
8.0
+1.0
FRITZ
4.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
GMK – 400 respondents – 11.12.2020-16.12.2020
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Tyrol is expected to take place in 2027.
Low number of respondents
Only 400 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Election poll results
Tyrol - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Tyrol from GMK shows the following results: ÖVP 52%, GRÜNE 15%, FPÖ 10%, SPÖ 9%, NEOS 8% and Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 4%. If an election were held in Tyrol this Sunday, ÖVP might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.3 growth since the last election. FPÖ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Anton Mattle is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and SPÖ. With 63.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.
The election survey was collected by GMK. For this purpose, 400 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.12.2020 - 16.12.2020).
Coalition possibilities
36
Majority requires 19 seats
SPÖ
3
8.3%
GRÜNE
6
16.7%
NEOS
3
8.3%
ÖVP
20
55.6%
FPÖ
4
11.1%
ÖVP
GRÜNE + SPÖ + NEOS
GRÜNE + NEOS
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Tyrol was conducted by GMK. The survey took place between 11.12.2020 and 16.12.2020 among 400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ÖVP 52%, GRÜNE 15%, FPÖ 10%, SPÖ 9%, NEOS 8% and Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 4%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.