Tyrol: Poll by Research Affairs from 14.12.2020

Polling data

ÖVP
43.0
-1.0
SPÖ
15.0
±0.0
FPÖ
13.0
-3.0
GRÜNE
13.0
+1.0
NEOS
8.0
+2.0
FRITZ
4.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
ÖVP
+8.3
SPÖ
-2.5
FPÖ
-5.8
GRÜNE
+3.8
NEOS
+1.7
FRITZ
-5.9
Research Affairs – 600 respondents – 02.12.2020-14.12.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Tyrol is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 600 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Tyrol - The latest poll for the State election in Tirol from Research Affairs shows the following results: ÖVP 43%, SPÖ 15%, FPÖ 13%, GRÜNE 13%, NEOS 8% and Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 4%. If an election were held in Tyrol this Sunday, ÖVP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.3 growth since the last election. Liste Fritz Dinkhauser, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Anton Mattle is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and SPÖ. With 63.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Research Affairs. For this purpose, 600 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (02.12.2020 - 14.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

36
Majority requires 19 seats
SPÖ
6
16.3%
GRÜNE
5
14.1%
NEOS
3
8.7%
ÖVP
17
46.7%
FPÖ
5
14.1%
ÖVP + SPÖ
63.9%
ÖVP + GRÜNE
61.1%
ÖVP + FPÖ
61.1%
ÖVP + NEOS
55.6%
ÖVP
47.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Tyrol was conducted by Research Affairs. The survey took place between 02.12.2020 and 14.12.2020 among 600 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ÖVP 43%, SPÖ 15%, FPÖ 13%, GRÜNE 13%, NEOS 8% and Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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