Tyrol
Election trend
Parties

Tyrol: Poll by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft from 15.09.2022

Polling data

ÖVP
26.0
+1.0
SPÖ
20.0
-1.0
FPÖ
19.0
±0.0
FRITZ
15.0
±0.0
GRÜNE
8.0
+1.0
NEOS
6.0
-1.0
MFG
2.0
-1.0
Sonst.
4.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
ÖVP
-8.7
SPÖ
+2.5
FPÖ
+0.2
FRITZ
+5.1
GRÜNE
-1.2
NEOS
-0.3
MFG
-0.8
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft – 645 respondents – 15.09.2022-15.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Tyrol is expected to take place in 2027.
Low number of respondents
Only 645 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates NEOS higher
In 38% of election polls, Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates NEOS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ÖVP lower
In 38% of election polls Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates ÖVP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPÖ higher
In 33% of election polls, Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates SPÖ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Tyrol - The latest poll for the State election in Tirol from Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft shows the following results: ÖVP 26%, SPÖ 20%, FPÖ 19%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 15%, GRÜNE 8%, NEOS 6% and MFG 2%. If an election were held in Tyrol this Sunday, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.1 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Anton Mattle is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and SPÖ. With 49.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. For this purpose, 645 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (15.09.2022 - 15.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

36
SPÖ
8
FRITZ
6
GRÜNE
3
NEOS
2
ÖVP
10
FPÖ
7
Majority requires 19 seats
ÖVP + SPÖ + FPÖ
25
ÖVP + SPÖ + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser
24
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
21
ÖVP + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser + GRÜNE
19
ÖVP + SPÖ
18
ÖVP + FPÖ
17

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Tyrol was conducted by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 15.09.2022 645. After this election poll would get ÖVP 26%, SPÖ 20%, FPÖ 19%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 15%, GRÜNE 8%, NEOS 6% and MFG 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.