Tyrol: Poll by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft from 22.09.2022

Tyrol: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ÖVP
27.0
+1.0
SPÖ
21.0
+1.0
FPÖ
21.0
+2.0
FRITZ
14.0
-1.0
GRÜNE
8.0
±0.0
NEOS
6.0
±0.0
MFG
2.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
ÖVP
-7.7
SPÖ
+3.5
FPÖ
+2.2
FRITZ
+4.1
GRÜNE
-1.2
NEOS
-0.3
MFG
-0.8
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft – 573 respondents – 22.09.2022-22.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Tyrol is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 573 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates NEOS higher

In 32% of election polls, Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates NEOS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ÖVP lower

In 34% of election polls Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates ÖVP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Tyrol - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Tyrol from Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft shows the following results: ÖVP 27%, SPÖ 21%, FPÖ 21%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 14%, GRÜNE 8%, NEOS 6% and MFG 2%. If an election were held in Tyrol this Sunday, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.1 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Anton Mattle is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and SPÖ. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. For this purpose, 573 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (22.09.2022 - 22.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

36
Majority requires 19 seats
SPÖ
8
22.2%
FRITZ
5
13.9%
GRÜNE
3
8.3%
NEOS
2
5.6%
ÖVP
10
27.8%
FPÖ
8
22.2%
ÖVP + FPÖ + SPÖ
72.2%
ÖVP + SPÖ + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser
63.9%
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
58.3%
ÖVP + SPÖ
50.0%
ÖVP + FPÖ
50.0%
ÖVP + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser + GRÜNE
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Tyrol was conducted by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 22.09.2022 573. After this election poll would get ÖVP 27%, SPÖ 21%, FPÖ 21%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 14%, GRÜNE 8%, NEOS 6% and MFG 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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