Latest polls from RDI
17.9
16.5
15.7
12.1
7.2
4.9
4.2
3.9
3.3
2.7
2.1
1.9
1.4
1.3
1
0.5
3.4
20.4
16.8
15.9
10.2
5.3
4.3
4
3.4
2.3
1.8
1.4
1.3
1
0.6
0.4
0.3
10.6
20.4
17.5
15.6
14.2
5.6
4.5
4.1
3.6
2.5
1.7
1.6
1.1
0.6
0.4
0.3
6.3
20.9
17.6
16.3
13.2
5.1
4.2
3.7
3
2.9
2.4
1.8
8.9
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in RDI pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 7.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, RDI's average ranking is 5.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5