Prefer an ad-free experience? Get PolitPro+ now.

Latest Opinion Poll for the Ukraine Election (Socis, December 18, 2025)

December 12, 2025 - December 18, 2025

2600 respondents

Next General Election in Ukraine: 2025

The next General Election in Ukraine is expected in 2025.

Incumbent Government in Ukraine Lacks Majority

Based on the Socis projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 20.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Socis?

According to the latest national poll in Ukraine conducted by Socis, Valerii Zaluzhnyi commands 29.6% support, trailed by SN: 16.8%, Kyrylo Budanov: 10.5%, YeS: 8.6%, Batkivshchyna: 6.6%, Natskorpus: 6.1%, RozPol: 5.6%, Denys Prokopenko: 4.9%, OPZZh: 3.3% and Prytula Bloc: 2.6%. Other parties secure 5.4% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Ukraine
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Ukraine
Prefer an ad-free experience? Get PolitPro+ now.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Socis Projection?

69

PolitPro Score

Socis achieved a PolitPro Score of 69 out of 100.

?

Election Accuracy

On average, Socis's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Socis at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Ukraine is 5%.

PolitPro Analysis
Likelihood of an Absolute Majority
  • Zal.
    ??%
  • SN
    ??%
  • Buda.
    ??%
Likelihood of Winning the Election
  • Zal.
    ??%
  • SN
    ??%
  • Buda.
    ??%
  • YeS
    ??%
  • RozPol
    ??%
Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold
  • YeS
    ??%
  • Batk.
    ??%
  • Nats.
    ??%
  • RozPol
    ??%
  • Prok.
    ??%
  • OPZZh
    ??%
  • Pryt
    ??%

How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Unlock Analysis

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Socis)

According to Socis data, 7 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Ukraine's parliament: Valerii Zaluzhnyi with 150 representatives, SN with 86 representatives, Kyrylo Budanov with 54 representatives, YeS with 43 representatives, Batkivshchyna with 33 representatives, Natskorpus with 30 representatives and RozPol with 28 representatives.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.