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Ukraine: Poll by SMC from 10.12.2021

Polling data

SN
19.2
-5.5
YeS
15.3
-0.6
OPZZh
12.8
-4.3
Batk.
10.3
-0.9
RozPol
7.7
±0.0
Nashi
6.8
±0.0
SiCh
6.1
+0.3
US
3.7
-1.1
Svoboda
2.6
+0.2
RP
2.5
-0.2
PSh
1.4
+0.3
UDAR
1.4
±0.0
Holos
1.0
-0.6
ZM
0.8
-0.5
NF
0.7
±0.0
ProP.
0.4
±0.0
APU
0.3
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
+12.9
Development since the last election on 21.07.2019
SN
-24.0
YeS
+7.2
OPZZh
-0.3
Batk.
+2.1
RozPol
New
Nashi
New
SiCh
+2.3
US
+1.3
Svoboda
+0.4
RP
-1.5
PSh
-0.8
UDAR
New
Holos
-4.8
ZM
New
NF
New
ProP.
New
APU
New
SMC – 10000 respondents – 28.11.2021-10.12.2021

Next election: 2024

The next parliamentary election in Ukraine is expected to take place in 2024.

Election poll results

Ukraine - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ukraine from SMC shows the following results: SN 19.2%, YeS 15.3%, OPZZh 12.8%, Batkivshchyna 10.3%, RozPol 7.7%, Nashi 6.8%, SiCh 6.1%, US 3.7%, Svoboda 2.6%, RP 2.5%, PSh 1.4%, UDAR 1.4%, Holos 1%, ZM 0.8%, NF 0.7%, ProPoz 0.4% and APU 0.3%. If an election were held in Ukraine this Sunday, YeS might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.2 growth since the last election. SN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-24.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SMC. For this purpose, 10000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (28.11.2021 - 10.12.2021).

Coalition possibilities

424
OPZZh
70
RozPol
41
Nashi
36
SN
105
YeS
84
Batk.
55
SiCh
33
Majority requires 213 seats
SN + YeS + OPZZh
259
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + RozPol
250
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + Nashi
245
SN + OPZZh + Nashi + SiCh
244
SN + YeS + Batkivshchyna
244
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + SiCh
242
SN + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + Nashi
237
OPZZh + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + Nashi + SiCh
235
SN + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + SiCh
234
YeS + OPZZh + RozPol + Nashi
231
SN + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + SiCh
229
SN + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna
230
SN + YeS + RozPol
230
YeS + OPZZh + RozPol + SiCh
228
SN + YeS + Nashi
225
YeS + OPZZh + Nashi + SiCh
223
SN + YeS + SiCh
222
YeS + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + Nashi
216
SN + RozPol + Nashi + SiCh
215
SN + OPZZh + RozPol
216
YeS + Batkivshchyna + RozPol + SiCh
213
SN + OPZZh + Nashi
211
YeS + Batkivshchyna + Nashi + SiCh
208
YeS + OPZZh + Batkivshchyna
209
SN + OPZZh + SiCh
208

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ukraine was conducted by SMC. The survey took place between 28.11.2021 and 10.12.2021 among 10000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SN 19.2%, YeS 15.3%, OPZZh 12.8%, Batkivshchyna 10.3%, RozPol 7.7%, Nashi 6.8%, SiCh 6.1%, US 3.7%, Svoboda 2.6%, RP 2.5%, PSh 1.4%, UDAR 1.4%, Holos 1%, ZM 0.8%, NF 0.7%, ProPoz 0.4% and APU 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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