Current election polls and polling data from BMG

Latest voting intention survey by BMG for United Kingdom

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by BMG, the parties received the following results: Labour 25%, Tories 25%, Reform UK 24%, Liberal Democrats 14%, Green Party 8%, Scottish National Party 3% and Plaid Cymru 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1514 people during the period 29.01.2025 - 29.01.2025.
1514 participants
28.01.2025 - 29.01.2025
BMG
Lab
25.0
-17.0
Con
25.0
+2.0
Reform
24.0
+8.0
LDEM
14.0
+5.0
Greens
8.0
+2.0
SNP
3.0
-1.0
PC
1.0
+1.0

Seats in parliament

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
163
25.1%
Greens
52
8%
SNP
19
2.9%
PC
6
0.9%
LDEM
91
14%
Con
163
25.1%
Reform
156
24%
Tories + Reform UK + Liberal Democrats
63.1%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
Tories + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
Tories + Labour
50.2%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
50.0%
Tories + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
50.0%
Tories + Reform UK
49.1%

68

PolitPro Score

BMG achieves a score of 68/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Con
8
31
62
Greens
23
69
8
LDEM
8
62
31
Lab
46
46
8
PC
0
100
0
Reform
15
69
15
SNP
0
83
17

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.