Current election polls and polling data from BMG

Latest voting intention survey by BMG for United Kingdom

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by BMG, the parties received the following results: Reform UK 32%, Labour 22%, Tories 19%, Liberal Democrats 13%, Green Party 9%, Scottish National Party 3% and Plaid Cymru 0%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1525 people during the period 08.05.2025 - 08.05.2025.
1525 participants
06.05.2025 - 08.05.2025
BMG
Reform
32.0
+9.0
Lab
22.0
-4.0
Con
19.0
-5.0
LDEM
13.0
-1.0
Greens
9.0
+1.0
SNP
3.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
+1.0

Seats in parliament

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
146
22.5%
Greens
59
9.1%
SNP
20
3.1%
LDEM
86
13.2%
Con
126
19.4%
Reform
213
32.8%
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
55.1%
Reform UK + Liberal Democrats + Green Party
55.1%
Reform UK + Tories
52.2%
Labour + Tories + Green Party
50.9%

68

PolitPro Score

BMG achieves a score of 68/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Con
6
44
50
Greens
19
75
6
LDEM
6
63
31
Lab
44
44
13
PC
0
100
0
Reform
19
56
25
SNP
0
87
13

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.