Latest voting intention survey by BMG Research for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by BMG Research, the parties received the following results: Reform UK 30%, Labour 22%, Tories 20%, Green Party 12%, Liberal Democrats 12% and Scottish National Party 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1548 people during the period 27.11.2025 - 27.11.2025.
1548 participants
26.11.2025 - 27.11.2025
BMG Research
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Seats in parliament
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
146
22.5%
Greens
79
12.2%
SNP
13
2%
LDEM
79
12.2%
Con
133
20.5%
Reform
200
30.8%
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
Reform UK + Liberal Democrats + Green Party
Labour + Tories + Green Party
Reform UK + Tories
72
PolitPro Score
BMG Research achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in BMG Research pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.52
|
Parliamentary Election in United Kingdom 2019 | 10/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.