Current election polls by BMG Research

Latest polls from BMG Research

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Green Party higher
In 39% of election polls, BMG Research rates Green Party higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats higher
In 65% of election polls, BMG Research rates Liberal Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reform UK lower
In 36% of election polls BMG Research rates Reform UK lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories lower
In 65% of election polls BMG Research rates Tories lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in BMG Research pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, BMG Research's average ranking is 10.0.
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