Latest voting intention survey by BMG Research for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by BMG Research, the parties received the following results: Reform UK 31%, Labour 24%, Tories 18%, Liberal Democrats 13%, Green Party 9%, Scottish National Party 3% and Plaid Cymru 0%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1510 people during the period 29.05.2025 - 29.05.2025.
1510 participants
28.05.2025 - 29.05.2025
BMG Research
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Seats in parliament
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
160
24.6%
Greens
59
9.1%
SNP
20
3.1%
LDEM
86
13.2%
Con
119
18.3%
Reform
206
31.7%
Reform UK + Tories + Liberal Democrats
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
Reform UK + Liberal Democrats + Green Party
Labour + Tories + Green Party
Reform UK + Tories
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
71
PolitPro Score
BMG Research achieves a score of 71/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in BMG Research pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.52
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2019 | 10/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.