Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos MORI for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Ipsos MORI, the parties received the following results: Labour 47%, Tories 26%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 8%, Scottish National Party 4%, Reform UK 2%, UKIP 1% and Plaid Cymru 0%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1001 people during the period 12.10.2022 - 12.10.2022. The survey was commissioned by The Evening Standard.
1001 participants
05.10.2022 - 12.10.2022
Ipsos MORI
The Evening Standard
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Lab
47.0
+3.0
Con
26.0
-4.0
LDEM
10.0
±0.0
Greens
8.0
±0.0
SNP
4.0
-1.0
Reform
2.0
+1.0
UKIP
1.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
+1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
79
PolitPro Score
Ipsos MORI achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos MORI pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.5 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.5
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2019 | 1/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.