Latest polls from Kantar Public
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Labour lower
In 50% of election polls Kantar Public rates Labour lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats higher
In 30% of election polls, Kantar Public rates Liberal Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories higher
In 45% of election polls, Kantar Public rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar Public pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Kantar Public's average ranking is 5.8.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
2x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
0x on rank 11
12
0x on rank 12
13
1x on rank 13