Latest voting intention survey by Kantar Public for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Kantar Public, the parties received the following results: Tories 44%, Labour 32%, Liberal Democrats 13%, Scottish National Party 4%, Green Party 3%, Reform UK 3% and Plaid Cymru 0%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2815 people during the period 11.12.2019 - 11.12.2019.
2815 participants
09.12.2019 - 11.12.2019
Kantar Public
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Con
44.0
±0.0
Lab
32.0
±0.0
LDEM
13.0
±0.0
SNP
4.0
±0.0
Greens
3.0
±0.0
Reform
3.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
79
PolitPro Score
Kantar Public achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar Public pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.6 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.58
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2019 | 3/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.