Latest polls from Number Cruncher Politics
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats lower
In 57% of election polls Number Cruncher Politics rates Liberal Democrats lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories higher
In 50% of election polls, Number Cruncher Politics rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Number Cruncher Politics pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Number Cruncher Politics's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction