Latest voting intention survey by Number Cruncher Politics for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Number Cruncher Politics, the parties received the following results: Labour 42%, Tories 35%, Liberal Democrats 8%, Green Party 6%, Scottish National Party 5%, Reform UK 2% and Plaid Cymru 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2001 people during the period 28.02.2022 - 28.02.2022.
2001 participants
21.02.2022 - 28.02.2022
Number Cruncher Politics
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats lower
In 57% of election polls Number Cruncher Politics rates Liberal Democrats lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories higher
In 50% of election polls, Number Cruncher Politics rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Number Cruncher Politics pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.6 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.55
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2019 | 2/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.